Comments
Verdant vegetation and the beauty of the desert
I also heard the same b.s.
Captain Rudd and Titanic Australis, management of collision

The "moonscaped" block is an all-too-common sight
Please keep those comments on Victoria's developer putsch coming

I made a submission through the online form
I made a submission through the online form, though I could not answer most of the questions (see my previous comment)! I ended with a rather lame comment:
"The new zones give too much power to developers to do whatever they like; even the current zones are preferable to these proposed ones. The residents who are affected by a development should have the right to object to it. Melbourne's liveability - its open spaces and low residential density - is being eroded by overdevelopment. The Government should try to restrict population growth rather than try to cram more and more people into the same area."
Racism, immigration, and democracy
Population stability and race
Whoops! Don't know how I got the date so wrong
Superb post
Difficult questions and marketing undemocratic engineered growth
Like Saul on the road to Damascus..
Is race not an issue in regards to immigration into Tibet, etc?

Is opposition to high immigration 'racist'?

'Public consultation' questions difficult to answer
For Reference: Senate Select Committee on Housing Affordability
Article from The Australian
also from The Age
Also Reported at the ABC's Web Site
This is a GREAT ARTICLE.
Oh, please! Rupert
Averages, medians, standard deviations, decile ranges, etc
The Following comments were received from demographer Katharine Betts of the Swinburne University.
Skilled professionals on 457 visas
I think the answer is that many people coming in on the temporary 457 visas are quite highly paid. It's a hassle for employers to bring them in (not a huge hassle, but a hassle nonetheless) and so they tend to do it more for professionals and skilled people whom they really want. Consequently it's logical that many of these people will be well paid.
However the average wages can hide big variations and it can still be the case that some people on 457 visas are exploited and underpaid.
Averages, medians, standard deviations and decile ranges
With averages (ie the arithmetic mean) a few big numbers can really skew the results. So if you get a small number of managers being brought in on big salaries this could obscure the fact that many people at the lower end were being paid low salaries.
I presume you are referring to Paul Maley's piece on page 1 of the Australian March 18? (James: Yes)
He just talks about "averages". It's not clear whether he's referring to a mean salary or a median salary. A median is a much more valid measure of central tendency where the data are skewed as it's not biased by extreme values.
.
He's using ABS data and I'd expect them to use median salaries but he doesn't say that that is what he's got. Maybe he thinks the general reader will understand the word "average" and not want to be bothered by fine distinctions? But it does matter.
In any event neither measure tells us about the distribution of all the salaries. If the average used is a mean we'd need the standard deviation. If it's a median we'd want something like a decile range.
Local governmet candidates in Basalt, Colorado opposed to growth
I stumbled across a most interestin artile about how none of the candidates in local government elections in a small town of Basalt in Colorado in the US were strongly in favour of growth. This is in contrast to the recent Brisbane elections. The article is Candidates talk growth in Basalt.
BASALT — Basalt residents can rest assured that none of the candidates for three open Town Council seats are lobbying for rampant, unfettered growth. That was apparent from a forum sponsored by the Chamber of Commerce on
Wednesday.The five council candidates in attendance — plus incumbent Mayor Leroy Duroux, who is running unopposed — all laid out convincing cases about their concerns and hopes for the community. They all essentially said they want Basalt to
remain a cool small town where you don’t have to be a millionaire to afford a place to live.
Copyright notice: Reproduction of this material is encouraged as long as the source is acknowledged.
Democracy, Development, and the Australian Press
Population & Economic Growth as Anglo-State Religions
New Zealand and Missouri Green Population Positions
Most Idiotic Green Parties Pt 2
The Most Idiotic Green Party
Alleged sins of European Canadians
Sins of white ancestors were real, but point still valid
Tim, I think the argument you make is sound, however, I do take some exception to the way you refer to the sins of many of your white forefathers in Canada as 'alleged'. They were very real (or at least in the US with it's Massacre at Wounded Knee as but one of many examples) and in Australia.
However past ill-treatment of aboriginal societies is no justification for the current inhabitants of our societies being treated largely in the same way as those societies were back then. It does nothing to redress past injustices and only serves to destroy our social cohesion, our environment, and our children's future
Attitudes which effectively amount to racism against people of Anglo-Celtic descent from even amongst amongst left-liberal members of that community are quite common here in Australia, also. See, for example the following comment on a forum on Online Opinion in response to the article "Privileged 'whites'" of 8 Oct 2007:
There are already sufficient numbers of Australians of non-Western heritage to ensure that time and demographics will further consign “White Australia” to a slightly embarrassing historical memory.
disregard
Redland Residents should attend Council meeting 22 Jan(tomorrow)
Housing affordability
Population, racism and bumper stickers.
I think that in the public mind, the issues of population, race and of multiculturalism have become confused to the point where they're inseparable.
Try this simple exercise at home. There's a striking but crude bumper sticker going 'round that consists of an outline of Australia with the words "F*ck off - We're full". No question, it's an offensive sort of thing. Its emphatic use of the F word guarantees this (as well as it's popularity in some circles, no doubt).
It's existence has excited much commentary on blogs around the web. Google these and what you find is that there's precious little discussion of whether Australia's actually 'full' or not. The overwhelming reaction - delivered in smug tones of moral superiority - is that the sticker is an example of redneck racism and that it's to be deplored. Not just because it's crude or offensive, mind you, but because it's fundamentally wrong. Most writers feel that its wrongness is evident simply because of the socio-economic status of those sporting it on their vehicles. Or from the class of vehicle on which the sticker appears. One blogger, having ripped into the bogans across the road for decorating their Falcon with the offending sticker, goes on to cite population/land area statistics to 'prove' how underpopulated Australia is compared to China and India (those paragons of sustainability). A sympathetic reader, gushing over this vapid analysis, says;
"I especially like how you backed up your argument with real evidence- like, if you got into a verbal spat with the neighbour you could actually quote statistics and make him/her feel even more ignorant." ( cotardssyndrome.blogspot.com/2006_03_01_archive.html)
Deary me. One wonders what a similar analysis of Antarctica's population to land area would reveal. To be fair, later commentators question the relevance of the simple land area/population analysis and of course the blogger provides no response.
Aside from being just plain wrong, the blogosphere is unanimous in its view that the sticker is racist. How so? My own analysis of its limited content is that all comers are being asked to F*ck off, not just those of a particular ethnic origin. But as Sheila's article implies, the 'racist' brush has been used to tar so many for such a diversity of reasons that it no longer matters. If you oppose mass immigration - you're racist.
Crude stickers are probably no help in getting the message about population sustainablity more widely accepted. But the common notion that opposition to mass immigration = racism is a bigger challenge. And with vested interests benefiting from this misconception, changing it will be hard.
Consumer crimes & global warming - who is responsible?
NO Dredging for Port Phillip and surrounds
CHEAP OIL PROPAGANDA
Destruction of Minnippi Parklands
Destruction of Minnippi Parklands
technical-staff cuts
Kevin's uncle barking up the wrong tree
Uneconomical Channel deepening sign of corruption in gov
Latham's article in the Fin rev
Increasing the child death rate to balance the equation
Voting Systems
striking similarities with the Australian Labor Party
Teaching the Centre-Left a lesson
Nearly always a mistake to vote for a more right wing party
Saskatchewan NDP goes down to defeat
Two steps further than Andrew
Left sects and multiculturalism
I scratch my head trying to think of any enduring benefit
The slippery slope and the Australian left
Keep Howard in
Yungaba
Who are these people
I am astounded to read that
So many politicians are members of this foundation - What gives?
All the bad stuff is growing
Sounds like the Queensland Labor Party
Growth can be presented as a loss not a gain
Oh Larissa!
Reply to Larissa Waters
Dear Larissa,
Thank you for your reply and thank you for pointing out where the Greens stance on population has been stated in that earlier media release. However, it still seems to me that failure to mention population in the latest media release was a serious shortcoming.
The concluding paragraph, again, was:
"Government should be proposing sustainable solutions to the water crisis, like water recycling, rainwater tanks for every home, stormwater harvesting and demand management," concluded Ms Waters.
Anyone not familiar with the earlier media release could easily come to the conclusion that the Greens do not advocate population stability as a necessary precondition for both solving Queensland's water crisis and safeguarding the Mary River eco-system and rural community. Given that Australia is undergoing record population growth, largely driven by an unprecedented unofficial, but real, annual rate of 300,000 per year, and given that the newsmedia and the two major parties are strongly pushing population growth, it is all the more urgent that those in favour of population stability state this clearly and loudly on every appropriate occasion.
Can we expect the Greens from now on to give population stability the much higher profile that I think it deserves?
Thank you,
best regards,
James Sinnamon
Reply from Larissa Waters
E-mail sent to Larissa Waters
The population boosters are getting even worse
Unreasonable expectations and opportunism
Very strange? Try insane
Giant Queensland Population Counter gob-smacks visitor
Brain-damaged lungfish - More gems from the Senate
Obsession With Growth
Onya Larissa! Onya Lungfish!
Sheila Newman, population
Communism, capitalism and overpopulation
Authoritarianism and Intolerance (corrected)
Fear of four year term referendum in 2007 unfounded
Frightening and tragic conduct of Queensland Government
pulp mill
What are we doing?
Apple is another company to watch out for
Whereas it is true that a
Peak Oil and Politics
Mr Beazley says Murdoch's Australian doesn't run the country
Last good politician?
How much e-waste due to hardware and software incompatibility?
Nurses, used and abused by profit-mad government
BOO HOO HAVE A CRY
"Populate or perish" mentality on ABC radio
If that is true, that is good news. However ...
Should give Courier Mail credit for publishing letter, but ...
I guess we have to give the Courier Mail credit for publishing the letter, but if they were doing their job as well as they should be doing they would make these sorts of observations themselves more often and not leave it so much to their readers.
I think the impct of the letter was lost to some degree by their changing the start of the first sentence from:
Like every thinking compassionate person in this country ...
... to:
Like most compassionate people in this country ...
What about the media's role in the election menu?
There are things being done
No mandate; no acceptance!
Sugar glider is an endangered species
'Positives' do not outweigh 'negatives'
- ABS stats show that average wage growth has substantially exceeded the cost of living, even though the whole point of my article was to dispute the very basis of such statistics,
- Evidence from the ABS which "suggests that most employees work the hours they want".
- An assertion that I have exaggerated the factors which have added to the cost of living and that for each 'negative' factor not included in CPI calculations he can find several other 'positive' factors (presumably also not included in the CPI calculations).
- Bulk-billing has been emasculated. Before Howard stuffed up Medicare we could walk into a doctor's practice and get treatment without having to pay money and stuff around with Medicare claim forms and, when the cheques arrived, having to bank them. I estimate that it takes well over an hour of my time to do all this for each visit to the doctor and I am still out of pocket as the payment from the Government is less than the fee.
- Credentials creep : a degree is necessary precondition for most white collar occupations, whereas year 12 used to be easily sufficient. Occupations which once required a degree now require postgraduate qualifications.
- Loss of on-the-job training such as the apprenticeship and cadetship schemes run by Telecom (now Telstra) and other government owned utilities. Nurses and paramedics now require a degree.
- Loss of career paths for entry level employees. On ABC Radio National's Street Stories of 24 June (http://www.abc.net.au/rn/streetstories/stories/2007/1954374.htm - audio file no longer available) a prostitute in Kalgoorlie revealed that she had turned to prostitution in order to go to University. Asked why she needed to go to University, she explained that she needed a degree to get promoted beyond her entry-level job in an advertising agency. Think about it: the only path to career advancement for this girl was through prostitution. A generation ago most employees who were good enough could hope for career advancement without having to sleep with the boss or turn to prostitution. Rhian, do you think this is a step forward or a step backwards?
- Education is no longer free. Most of today's graduates have crippling HECS bills.
- Each serious job application I make these days takes at least weeks out of my life. This is to update my resume, fill out job selection criteria, write applications and if I am lucky, to attend the interview. Given the number of applicants for the jobs I go for (when I can bring myself to face such an ordeal). Given the number of applicants fro each of these jobs, simply fining a newer better job can easily consume up to a year of one's life, so many just don't bother. Year's ago, I was able to walk into good jobs by simply talking to the boss. At most, a scrappy job application and a small amount of form filing was all that was needed.
- The overheads of running small businesses have dissuaded many people I know from working for themselves. A generation ago, almost anyone could start a business without having to spend weekends filling out out paperwork, or, alternatively, employing an accountant part-time. Where is this shown in CPI figures?
- Housing loan repayment periods are 30, 40 years - some institutions are even planning for 50 year periods - where they used to be 20 years at the very most.(See story about economists, employed by banks, having fiddled statistics to make housing appear more affordable than it actually is at http://www.abc.net.au/rn/science/ockham/stories/s1335462.htm).
- Overheads of moving home for those growing numbers of Australians who don't own their own homes and are turfed out when their landlords sell or who have to move because they can't afford the rent increases. These include telephone, Internet (around $170 a hit on 5 occasions between 2001 and 2005 in my own case) electricity and gas reconnection, cleaning in order to satisfy demanding inspection requirements, time and effort searching for new accommodation and filing out paperwork, moving or selling possessions in order to avoid moving costs.
Demography and growth economics in a dry desert-land
Hi Dave,
Please write us an article if you feel up to it.
See end this response for an event where Assoc Prof Katharine Betts will be speaking.
Really appreciated your comment. The truth is that I nearly added that not all demographers and economists are useless -gosh, Malthus was the first economist - (not that he got everything right) but I kind of hoped to inflame some information rich response - and did. Of course they are not ALL useless - just the ones that bad business uses to ram home its destructive agenda. I didn't know about Ted Wheelright and will look up some of his work. With regards to demographers, Cristabel Young, Graham Hugo, Terrance Hull (who is also an anthropologist I think) spring to mind as good guys. Please do write a paene to any others and post it here.
The big problem (as you probably realise) is that having a maths degree, without broader scientific method and sociological or biological background, doesn't equip you to draw any political conclusions based on a series of numbers of people. What it does permit is crafting a recipe for cashing in on trends, and it leads to people trying to organise those trends to keep on happening when they would probably ordinarily come to an end or evolve into something different. The broader public need to be educated to distrust academics who spruik for business.
It is really poor that entire state planning departments abuse past demographic trends by presenting them to the public time and again as if they were cast-iron predictions. The politicians jump on these trend-vehicles like trained dogs and tell us all to get on board and the media market them to death. I have complained in the past to the ABC that they have reported APop pronouncements as if they were equivalent to ABS pronouncements. Once upon a time - I think - the ABC didn't make those kinds of mistakes.
Mind you, quite a few sociologists have been funded by business lobbies to write ideological population-boosting books which are no better. And few sociologists have a clue about ecology or fuels, which makes them incapable of assessing the impact people and society have.
It does help to have a conscience as well and maybe some control over status hunger. Perhaps I should be more understanding; so many people are trying just to make a living, but personally I draw the line at selling my country down the [dry] river.
Katharine Betts is not a demographer She is a sociologist, as is Bob Birrell (albeit Bob has an economics degree as well, I think). Betts and Birrell draw their sociological conclusions carefully, based on research and theory.
What I object to is economists and demographers who feel okay about cobbling together a coincidence and peddling it for hire, when the consequences are so serious, such as spooking the public with mad ideologies like demographic implosion (in a world of 6.5 billion!), or implying that Australia's population is falling when it isn't etc. in the service of economic growthist ideology. And the coarse and fascist remedies they propose for their imaginary problems. The horrible thing is that business has used these people plus money like weapons against democracy, and the politicians have been sucked in or induced to foist this kind of really muddy thinking on the public. So now we are in danger of having some official policy of growing our population to two or three times its size, against a background of oil depletion and atmospheric pollution, soil impoverishment and water overshoot, intensification of intensive feedlot farming, and gross fracturing of the population structures and social organisation of much of our wildlife. We are becoming such a depraved society.
By the way, Katharine Betts will be giving a lecture and discussion session at the North Melbourne Town Hall Library on 10 May at 3-4pm.
Are we going too big?
How fast is Australia’s population really growing?
How much of this growth is due to immigration?
Have trends really changed dramatically?
Did we need a baby bonus?
Do government and the media give the true picture in a state where the impacts of growth are becoming overwhelming— traffic-choked roads, water restrictions, anxiety about future water supply, pressure on land for housing, unaffordability, constant massive infrastructure projects and increasing need to protect wildlife from rapid growth and development....... ?
SPEAKER: 3PM – 4PM, SAT 10 MAY, MELBOURNE:
DR KATHARINE BETTS, Australian Population Sociologist, Associate Professor in Sociology at Swinburne University, Editor of Monash University demographic quarterly, People and Place, and Author of Immigration Ideology and The Great Divide.
This session will look at Statistics and Politics:
Statistics: Changes in collection and definition of Australian immigration statistics over the past 10 years.
Reliable estimates of the numbers from 1998-2008 (Migration and total population change)
Politics: Interpreting recent trends in Australian Political population policy and how policy intersects with real immigration numbers.
Dr Katharine Betts is Australia’s leading expert in different ways of measuring and presenting immigration statistics. An experienced teacher, she will explain Australian population statistics and show trends over the long and short term.
DISCUSSION: 4PM – 5PM
VENUE AND DATE:
(After the SPA VIC AGM at 2PM)
Saturday 10TH May
North Melbourne Library (upstairs)
66 Errol St. North Melbourne (Melway ref.2A J 10)
Sheila Newman, population sociologist
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